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Knowing how to count outs in poker is one of the first mathematical principles you must master when starting. Fortunately, counting ☀️ poker outs is not too difficult, and there are some easy ways to figure out how many outs you have ☀️ in each situation. But what exactly are outs in poker, and how can you use them to be a better poker ☀️ player? We will explain all that and more. By the time you are done reading, you will know what outs are, ☀️ how to count them, and how to calculate your equity based on the number of outs you have. What are Poker ☀️ Outs? Outs in poker are cards that help improve your hand. For example, if you are holding a pair of kings against ☀️ pocket aces, you have two outs to hit your set since only two kings are left in the deck. Of course, ☀️ outs come into play much more once the flop is dealt and you are working with five cards. In this ☀️ case, you will often not have a made hand yet and will be looking to improve, so understanding this concept ☀️ is essential. Any card that will improve your hand can be considered an out, although not all poker outs carry the ☀️ same weight, so let’s dive into that a bit deeper. How to Counts Outs in Poker Since you already know what poker ☀️ ours are, let’s discuss how to count it. Simply put, you need to figure out which cards will help improve your ☀️ hand and then think about all the cards in the deck. In the example of a flush draw, you currently hold ☀️ two hearts in your hand, and there are two hearts on the flop. Since we know there are 13 hearts ☀️ in the deck, you have nine outs to make your flush. However, other cards may also help your hand. For example, ☀️ if your flush draw contains an ace, which is an over card to the board, any of the remaining aces ☀️ could make you the top pair. Since you are holding the ace of hearts, three additional aces could land on the ☀️ turn or river, increasing your outs count by three. Whatever your current hand is, you should try to think about all ☀️ cards that will improve it on the turn or river and count those cards to come up with your total ☀️ outs count. As you get better at it, you will immediately know how many outs you have in some common situations. Here ☀️ are a few frequent flop situations that arise in poker that you should know by heart: Inside Straight Draw: 4 outs ☀️ to a straight 4 outs to a straight Set: 10 outs to a full house or four of a kind 10 outs ☀️ to a full house or four of a kind Open-Ended Straight Draw: 8 outs to a straight 8 outs to a ☀️ straight Flush Draw: 9 outs to a flush 9 outs to a flush Open-Ended Straight Flush Draw: 15 outs to a ☀️ straight or a flush It is important to know that not all outs are “clean,” so it is important to separate ☀️ between cards that can turn our hand into nuts and ones that can only make it slightly stronger. You have nine ☀️ outs to hit your flush if you have a flush draw How to Use Poker Outs in Game So now you know ☀️ how to count outs in poker, but you still don’t really know how this will help you be a better ☀️ poker player. After all, knowing how many cards will help you is nice, but it won’t help make those cards appear ☀️ on the turn or river. Since there is no way to know which cards are coming, all we can do is ☀️ calculate probability and use it to our advantage. This probability is known as equity in poker, and it determines how likely ☀️ we are to improve our hand and ultimately win the pot by simply having the best hand by showdown. Knowing the ☀️ number of outs we have is the first step to calculating equity in a poker hand. The next step is ☀️ to use maths to calculate what percentage of the time you will make your hand. Let us assume we are holding ☀️ Ks Qs on a board of As 9s 4c. Our opponent is relatively tight and passive and is now betting ☀️ into us, which means they are likely holding at least a pair of aces. In this case, we have nine outs ☀️ to make our flush, and any other outs we may have won’t really help us, as we will still probably ☀️ lose if a K or Q comes on the turn or river. We know that there are 52 cards in the ☀️ deck, and we can see five of those cards, leaving us with a total of 47 cards left, nine of ☀️ which are spades. A simple division of 47:9 tells us that we are looking at a ratio of 4.22:1, which translates ☀️ into 19.16%. However, it is also important to remember that there are still two cards left to come. Since both turn ☀️ and river are going to be dealt out, we need to calculate for both those cards and realize that our ☀️ equity will slightly improve going to the last card if the turn is not a spade since there will be ☀️ one fewer card in the deck. So for the turn, we have 46 cards left with still all of the 9 ☀️ spades in the deck. Using the same logic and dividing 46:9, we get a 4.11:1 ratio which gives a 19.57% ☀️ chance of hitting your flush. When all these calculations are considered, the equity we come up with is 38.73%. This does not ☀️ include the runner-runner straight possibility when holding KQ, so the actual number is slightly different, but it is the best ☀️ way to illustrate this example. That being said, these calculations can take some time to do at the table and ☀️ are very impractical. Therefore, there is a much simpler solution to calculating your approximate equity based on your number of ☀️ poker outs. Using the Rule of Two and Four The equity calculations we did in the previous example are kind of complicated, ☀️ and it would be tedious to do them in the middle of a hand while facing the pressure of a ☀️ bet. Instead, there is a much simpler way to calculate your equity without complicated math. If you are on the flop, take ☀️ the number of outs and multiply it by four. If you are on the turn, take the number of outs and ☀️ multiply it by two. In the previous example, we looked at an example of a flush draw, and we calculated the ☀️ equity of 38.73% on the flop and 19.57% on the turn. If we apply the rule of two and four to ☀️ this example, we will come up with 36% (9x4) on the flop and 18% (9x2) on the turn. You can see ☀️ that these numbers are not perfect, but they are within 2% of the real equity, and they take only a ☀️ few seconds to calculate. We also highly recommend remembering the equities of the most common scenarios, such as flush draws, straight ☀️ draws, and sets by heart, but using the rule of two and four in all other scenarios. Q9 had 6 outs ☀️ on the flop, which would mean approximately 24% equity Calculating Equity with More than Nine Outs As the number of outs becomes ☀️ higher, using the rule of two and four will start to deviate from true equity more and more. For that reason, ☀️ there is another formula you should remember and use when you have more than nine outs on the flop in ☀️ a poker hand. The formula is: Equity = (Number of outs x4) – (Number of Outs – 8) Let us imagine we have ☀️ 15 outs and run the calculation: Equity = (15*4) – (15-8) Equity = 60 – 7 Equity = 53% We would have got 60% ☀️ using the rule of two and four, while the new formula says 53%. The true equity of this situation is 54.1%, ☀️ which means that this formula gets us closer to the exact result than the previous one. Combo Draws and “Dirty Outs” There ☀️ are many possible situations that can arise in a hand of Texas Hold’em, and our poker outs count can go ☀️ up and down with every new card that hits. When counting outs, we should distinguish between outs that make us the ☀️ nuts and those that simply improve our hand. For example, let us imagine a scenario in which we are holding Jc ☀️ Tc, and the flop comes out Ac 9c 8s. In this scenario, we have open-ended straight and flush draws. Our open-ended ☀️ straight draw will give us the absolute nuts on both sides, while our flush draw will give us a strong ☀️ flush, also very likely to be the best hand. Since this is the case, we can count all our outs in ☀️ full and consider this as a 15-out situation, a fairly rare occurrence in Texas Hold’em. On the other hand, imagine holding ☀️ Ah 7h on a board of Kh 6h 4d. Here, nine outs to a flush give us the absolute nuts ☀️ and are considered “clean” outs. We could also hit an ace which would give us top pair, but having top pair ☀️ in no way guarantees that we have the best hand. In fact, hitting that card could even cost us some ☀️ money. Depending on factors such as the player we are playing against and the positional situation, we may still consider the ☀️ ace to some degree but definitely should not count it as a “clean” out to win this pot. Outs can get ☀️ even dirtier than that, as hitting the second or third pair to the board can also win us the pot ☀️ sometimes, but such cards should never be counted as true poker outs. When calculating your equity in a poker hand, you ☀️ should only seriously consider poker outs that guarantee you will have a very strong hand that's unlikely to be beaten ☀️ by your opponent's perceived hand. What is Next? Now that you know how to count outs in poker and turn the number ☀️ of outs into equity, you can start applying this knowledge at the tables. We highly recommend looking into our guides on ☀️ pot odds and implied odds, which will help you further understand how to use equity and make better decisions. After all, ☀️ knowing you will win a hand 36% of the time is not enough to beat good poker players in the ☀️ long run, so you should use this information as a starting point. Combine your understanding of counting outs, pot odds, ☀️ and implied odds, and you will be working with an arsenal that can help you defeat even proficient poker players. Free ☀️ Account If you’re not quite sure whether to take the plunge and join pokercode, why not sign up for a free ☀️ account? By signing up for a free account you will benefit from: Access to a list of curated study content, including one ☀️ of Fedor's study videos Participate in our free public coaching An inside look into how the Pokercode community studies Sign up now and ☀️ don’t miss out! This will also give you a few days to see what the content is like here at ☀️ pokercode, before deciding if you want to take the step into our paid offering.
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